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Defense at Third

Discussion in the Nichi-Bei forum
Defense at Third
As Westbay-san has pointed out previously, many people are quick to conclude that a lot of the Japanese players are poor fielders. Since Norihiro Nakamura almost became a Met, and Hiroki Kokubo and Akinori Iwamura both could be headed to MLB in the near future, I've decided to start my examination of this at the hot corner.

The following tables -- one based on 2002 stats, the other on career stats -- are sorted by range factor first, followed by fielding percentage. Why? Because it's more important to field a lot of balls than it is to field the balls that you happen to reach cleanly. That is, fielding range is generally more important than fielding reliability. There are still problems with range factor, of course. The pitching staff can significantly influence an infielder's score, both in what kinds of balls are hit (ground vs. fly) and where they're hit (left-handed pitching means more balls to the left side of the infield, and vice versa). But it's the best we're going to get with the available data, and I trust defensive statistics more than the naked eye despite their drawbacks.

A couple more things: Only MLB players who played 100 or more games at third in 2002 are on the list, and I used (A + PO) / G to calculate range factor. I would've used the preferred method, 9 * (A + PO) / Inn, but innings played data is not available for the Japanese players. So the scores for the MLB players are lower -- and less precise -- than what you'll find listed elsewhere. Can't be helped; comparing players using two different formulas would be next to useless.

2002
NameGPOAEDPFPRnF
Rolen, Scott15513333516410.9673.02
Chavez, Eric14312030117240.9612.94
Alfonzo, Edgardo1349527812220.9692.78
Polanco, Placido131902718330.9782.76
Iwamura, Akinori1401142698190.9802.74
Lowell, Mike15915028614360.9692.74
Koskie, Korey13811825412160.9692.70
Ventura, Robin13710926123220.9412.70
Boone, Aaron1549032420420.9542.69
Randa, Joe12910823410120.9722.65
Beltre, Adrian15712029420180.9542.64
Truby, Chris1208422916260.9512.61
Batista, Tony15411128916350.9622.60
Blum, Geoff104681998270.9712.57
Ramirez, Aramis1317825519320.9462.54
Zeile, Todd1398725721230.9422.47
Hillenbrand, Shea15610128223270.9432.46
Glaus, Troy15610028120300.9502.44
Perry, Herb1128318914160.9512.43
Castilla, Vinny139752566230.9822.38
Nakamura, Norihiro13810622214220.9592.38
Hinske, Eric14810324620140.9462.36
Cirillo, Jeff1411122179230.9732.33
Bell, David139782449210.9732.32
Kokubo, Hiroki1351011997160.9772.22
Mueller, Bill104621596190.9742.13
Career
NameGPOAEDPFPRnF
Rolen, Scott8977451,796941600.9642.83
Nakamura, Norihiro1,0178581,8721051690.9632.68
Ventura, Robin1,7931,4113,3932143420.9572.68
Castilla, Vinny1,1537372,3141202420.9622.65
Batista, Tony446326851511000.9582.64
Boone, Aaron5423591,057721030.9522.61
Lowell, Mike529420954391030.9722.60
Chavez, Eric5563911,05456830.9632.60
Beltre, Adrian6544871,1861011030.9432.59
Cirillo, Jeff1,1868032,2521082460.9662.58
Glaus, Troy6724551,276981160.9462.58
Randa, Joe9306611,7131031550.9582.55
Alfonzo, Edgardo51535195642850.9692.54
Iwamura, Akinori47933688348640.9622.54
Koskie, Korey51634895447710.9652.52
Perry, Herb33725358740500.9552.49
Zeile, Todd1,3888972,5352092190.9432.47
Polanco, Placido27916851913570.9812.46
Ramirez, Aramis44823686170870.9402.45
Truby, Chris22915240836450.9402.45
Mueller, Bill7254761,264711260.9612.40
Blum, Geoff23214341220450.9652.39
Hinske, Eric14810324620140.9462.36
Hillenbrand, Shea28518948341430.9422.36
Kokubo, Hiroki46333472425700.9772.29
Bell, David46626276944590.9592.21

Iwamura more than held his own in 2002. No surprise there, his defense has been improving each year. (I hope you're paying attention, Jim Hendry.) And while both Nakamura and Kokubo finished toward the bottom in 2002, Nori's career stats paint a different picture. He might not be pretty to watch, but his defense has been steady at the very least during his tenure. The same cannot be said of Hiroki, who's lack of range is a concern despite his high fielding percentage.

Comments
Defense at Short
[ Author: 1908 | Posted: Jan 21, 2003 3:52 PM | HT Fan ]

Kazuo Matsui stole the show last November when he hit .423/.500/.731 against the MLB All-Stars. Which left me wondering, is his glove in the same league as his bat? And what about number 1 draft choice Tadahito Iguchi, who most likely will be posted after the 2003 season? Could he start at short for an MLB team? (The Hawks probably have their doubts; they moved him to 2nd after the 2000 season, which is why he's not listed on the 2002 table.)

I used the same criteria as above to select and evaluate players.

2002
NameGPOAEDPFPRnF
Uribe, Juan155261505271190.9664.94
Bordick, Mike1171963721920.9984.85
Cabrera, Orlando153237498291020.9624.80
Furcal, Rafael150245466271110.9634.74
Perez, Neifi139252400191070.9724.69
Hernandez, Jose149244451191070.9734.66
Wilson, Jack14318746315900.9774.55
Tejada, Miguel162230504191060.9754.53
Rodriquez, Alex162259472101080.9874.51
Gomez, Chris13023035612940.9804.51
Rollins, Jimmy15222845514900.9804.49
Vizquel, Omar1502394317980.9904.47
Garciaparra, Nomar15421846725920.9654.45
Clayton, Royce1091662925720.9894.20
Ordonez, Rey14220838819820.9694.20
Aurilia, Rich13121333311970.9804.17
Fox, Andy11218727917730.9654.16
Larkin, Barry13519037012890.9794.15
Guzman, Cristian14724836012840.9814.14
Matsui, Kazuo1392183569680.9854.13
Eckstein, David14720739714910.9774.11
Renteria, Edgar14920241019720.9704.11
Gonzalez, Alex S.14221936121840.9654.08
Guillen, Carlos13020030418680.9663.88
Jeter, Derek15621936714690.9773.76
Curz, Deivi14716937315830.9733.67
Womack, Tony14917536420660.9643.62
Izturis, Cesar12815530610690.9793.60
Career
NameGPOAEDPFPRnF
Perez, Neifi8121,4062,490936220.9774.80
Uribe, Juan224369690321640.9714.73
Tejada, Miguel7731,2392,3431115170.9704.63
Matsui, Kazuo9931,6172,860995950.9784.51
Gonzalez, Alex S.1,0161,6722,9101206870.9744.51
Wilson, Jack250321803311570.9734.50
Clayton, Royce1,4292,2654,1651828850.9724.50
Bordick, Mike1,5082,4914,2301241,0020.9824.46
Cabrera, Orlando5999001,771643670.9774.46
Vizquel, Omar1,9142,9805,5111421,2490.9844.44
Rodriguwz, Alex1,1091,7853,1371237390.9764.44
Garciaparra, Nomar7631,1972,1841104340.9684.43
Furcal, Rafael339518979612140.9614.42
Larkin, Barry1,9402,9725,4832221,0230.9744.36
Cruz, Deivi8491,1682,466815690.9784.28
Renteria, Edgar9741,4562,7041445890.9674.27
Ordonez, Rey9071,3652,503945280.9674.26
Rollins, Jimmy322467903291980.9794.25
Guzman, Cristian5478361,463793190.9674.20
Aurilia, Rich8251,2322,2181005500.9724.18
Gomez, Chris9281,3382,4711085530.9724.10
Iguchi, Tadahito366502993361790.9764.08
Eckstein, David273385730291570.9754.08
Jeter, Derek1,0911,6242,7791185600.9744.04
Hernandez, Jose7371,0021,927974320.9683.97
Womack, Tony9161,5072,0411074200.9713.87
Guillen, Carlos293419670331580.9713.72
Fox, Andy250334596441320.9553.72
Izturis, Cesar13417131711740.9783.64

Many experts consider shortstop to be the most demanding defensive position in baseball. Looking at his career stats, Kazuo is clearly one of the best of the best, despite his sub-par performance in 2002. Iguchi's stats aren't terrible -- but they're not very impressive either. With his average glove and below-average bat, I doubt he'd start for an MLB team at short. 2nd base might be a different story, but you'll have to wait for the next installment to find out.

Defense at Second
[ Author: 1908 | Posted: Jan 23, 2003 4:41 AM | HT Fan ]

The previous tables suggest that both Hiroki Kokubo and Tadahito Iguchi would make adequate -- but not exceptional -- defensive players in MLB at third base and shortstop respectively. The following tables examine whether the same holds true for the pair at second. I also included Makoto Imaoka; I haven't seen his name brought up as a possible MLB convert, but he hit .313/.389/.625 against the latest All-Star tour, which opened up some scouts' eyes, I imagine.

2002
NameGPOAEDPFPRnF
Reese, Pokey
117
283
363
8
84
0.988
5.52
Iguchi, Tadahito
113
219
350
6
70
0.990
5.04
Hairston Jr., Jerry
119
232
365
11
75
0.982
5.02
Vidro, Jose
152
314
448
11
93
0.986
5.01
Abernathy, Brent
116
253
316
12
85
0.979
4.91
Durham, Ray
103
208
298
17
73
0.967
4.91
Walker, Todd
154
315
438
8
93
0.989
4.89
Kent, Jeff
149
293
412
16
113
0.978
4.73
Young, Michael
152
298
419
9
97
0.988
4.72
Biggio, Craig
142
313
353
8
88
0.988
4.69
Castillo, Luis
144
279
390
13
93
0.981
4.65
Young, Eric
123
249
323
12
79
0.979
4.65
Kennedy, Adam
139
273
367
11
90
0.983
4.60
Vina, Fernando
150
287
401
13
104
0.981
4.59
Anderson, Marlon
143
271
483
20
89
0.970
4.57
Imaoka, Makoto
121
200
349
6
68
0.989
4.54
Soriano, Alfonso
155
300
402
23
86
0.968
4.53
Spivey, Junior
143
288
358
15
64
0.977
4.52
Febles, Carlos
116
193
313
15
76
0.971
4.35
Sanchez, Rey
100
151
272
4
61
0.991
4.23
Alomar, Roberto
147
273
349
11
94
0.983
4.23
Grudzielanek, Mark
147
252
366
7
76
0.989
4.20
Boone, Bret
153
251
387
7
84
0.989
4.17
Career
NameGPOAEDPFPRnF
Iguchi, Tadahito
253
549
799
11
163
0.992
5.33
Kokubo, Hiroki
359
863
988
19
216
0.990
5.16
Reese, Pokey
458
1,012
1,336
34
296
0.986
5.13
Hairston Jr., Jerry
378
780
1,136
37
262
0.981
5.07
Vina, Fernando
960
2,061
2,612
73
712
0.985
4.87
Biggio, Craig
1,605
3,334
4,454
124
937
0.984
4.85
Young, Eric
1,142
2,328
3,211
126
698
0.978
4.85
Alomar, Roberto
2,140
4,131
6,098
168
1,297
0.984
4.78
Kent, Jeff
1,270
2,557
3,503
127
815
0.979
4.77
Castillo, Luis
694
1,414
1,894
71
465
0.979
4.77
Abernathy, Brent
195
404
525
19
141
0.980
4.76
Young, Michael
257
510
704
17
177
0.986
4.72
Kennedy, Adam
454
913
1,231
44
274
0.980
4.72
Febles, Carlos
426
774
1,215
46
316
0.977
4.67
Durham, Ray
1,135
2,124
3,132
123
745
0.977
4.63
Boone, Bret
1,369
2,724
3,586
87
834
0.986
4.61
Anderson, Marlon
454
876
1,183
46
272
0.978
4.54
Grudzielanek, Mark
441
812
1,166
36
253
0.982
4.49
Soriano, Alfonso
312
619
768
43
179
0.970
4.45
Sanchez, Rey
372
610
1,039
19
200
0.989
4.43
Vidro, Jose
608
1,069
1,626
45
345
0.984
4.43
Imaoka, Makoto
304
528
812
16
162
0.988
4.41
Walker, Todd
622
1,126
1,614
49
344
0.982
4.41
Spivey, Junior
209
384
462
18
91
0.979
4.05


Assuming he hasn't lost a step since he last played second in 1997, Kokubo would more than hold his own as an MLB second baseman. In fact, his combination of defense and power could make him an all-star.

Iguchi's outstanding defense at 2nd might be enough to earn him a starting spot on an MLB team -- not to mention multiple gold gloves -- but his chances are much greater if his bat can return to 2001 form. Only Alfonso Soriano would surpass that kind of speed-power combination at 2nd, and Tadahito is a much better defensive player -- for the moment, at least.

Imaoka's defense isn't up to Iguchi's or Kokubo's standards but it's not a liability. He also could start in the Majors, providing he continues to hit like he did in 2002.
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