This is a site about Pro Yakyu (Japanese Baseball), not about who the next player to go over to MLB is. It's a community of Pro Yakyu fans who have come together to share their knowledge and opinions with the world. It's a place to follow teams and individuals playing baseball in Japan (and Asia), and to learn about Japanese (and Asian) culture through baseball.
It is my sincere hope that once you learn a bit about what we're about here that you will join the community of contributors.
Michael Westbay
(aka westbaystars)
Founder
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Japan won Silver in 1996, finished 4th in 2000 and won Bronze in 2004 so they're obviously a strong contender. They also won the 2006 World Baseball Classic against a better USA team and similar Cuban team to what they'll see in Beijing. They've lost Fukudome, Matsuzaka, Iwamura and Ichiro and a couple other guys have faded. OTOH, you have some nice young players like Darvish, Tanaka, Naruse and Wakui so the overall talent level hasn't fallen much.
C: Shinnosuke Abe [Baseball-Reference] is a very good hitter and has done well in several past international events, most recently being MVP of the 2007 Asian Championship. From the right side, you have Tomoya Satozaki who has some pop, and Akihiro Yano, who's probably mostly a defensive and veteran presence. Looking at the roster, I don't know who would be DH - Satozaki might be a decent bet.
1B: Takahiro Arai once hit 43 home runs in a season and also starred in the 2007 Asian Championship. He's probably as good an option as any other team will trot out there as first base isn't a strong suit for Cuba or the USA.
2B: Tsuyoshi Nishioka provides plenty of speed as does Masahiro Araki. Neither is a stellar offensive force but both are competent hitters. Cuba has the edge here with Hector Olivera Jr.
SS: Munenori Kawasaki provides some offense and glovework as does 37-year-old Shinya Miyamoto. Hiroyuki Nakajima has been a good hitter since replacing Kazuo Matsui at short for the Seibu Lions. There were some other good options in Tomohiro Nioka or Takeshi Toritani. I can't say any of these guys is head and heels above the rest.
3B: Shuichi Murata has been improving steadily over time. He's comparable to the USA's Mike Hessman - a bit of a late bloomer with very good power but only moderate average/OBP skills. He's one of Japan's top heart-of-the-order threats.
RF: Atsunori Inaba is another late bloomer who was the surprise Pacific League batting champion last year and was the Japan Series MVP in 2006. Yakult is probably mad they let him go, though Aaron Guiel filled in nicely last year. G.G. Sato is another option here.
CF: Norichika Aoki was basically just a singles hitter (but a very good one) when he first came up but has developed both a nice batting eye and some power. He's a very good all-around player and should do well.
LF: Masahiko Morino has never found a steady position, playing everything except catcher, pitcher, right field and center field with regularity. He mostly has been a 3B/LF. He blossomed last year but is still not exactly a superstar.
SP: Japan's roster is loaded with guys who are usually starters, some of whom will definitely come out of the bullpen. You have one experienced vet in Kenshin Kawakami and a couple mid-20s guys in Toshiya Sugiura and Tsuyoshi Wada but mostly they're going to some excellent young arms. 22-year-old Yoshihisa Naruse led the 2007 Pacific League in ERA. The guy he edged out, Yu Darvish is probably the most famous player active in Japan and was MVP of the league. Masahiro Tanaka is a 19-year-old who broke Daisuke Matsuzaka's high school strikeout record. 21-year-old Hideaki Wakui led the PL in wins last year. There isn't a weak link in these seven hurlers.
RP: Hitoki Iwase has been Japan's elite closer in recent years and might come to the US next year. Kyuji Fujikawa has put up some real gaudy numbers for Hanshin and is equally baffling. The most famous of the three is Koji Uehara, a converted starting pitcher who is not having a great year.