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Projecting Japanese Pitchers to MLB - Yu Darvish

Discussion in the Open Talk forum
Projecting Japanese Pitchers to MLB - Yu Darvish
On 2009-6-29 Brandon Siefken wrote:
The art of predicting can be tricky. Nobody knows exactly how to predict the future. I was curious how some Japanese pitchers would project to MLB so I created an index based upon past Japanese pitcher performances.


[Full Article: http://www.japanbaseballnews.com/?p=521]
Comments
Re: Projecting Japanese Pitchers to MLB - Yu Darvish
[ Author: number9 | Posted: Jun 30, 2009 1:07 AM ]

Then there's of course the big x-factor: the cultural, environmental, and mental adaptation process that players crossing the Pacific (in both directions) have to endure. Some thrive (Nomo, Saito, etc.), some fail (Kobayashi, Fukumori, etc.), some fluctuate (Irabu, Matsuzaka, etc.), some thrive then fade (Sasaki, Takatsu, etc. though this might be due to more age and wear and tear) and others meander. I don't think there's a large enough sample size yet for reliable equivalences when it comes to pitchers.

Position players, on the other hand, are more predictable creatures, so their production are more predictable when making the NPB => MLB move. BA drops somewhat, HR gets cut in half, defense is usually above par (except whatever happened to Kaz Matsui).

Just my rambling 2 yen late at night when I should be sleeping.
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